MODERNIZATION
Purpose: is to study the reasons, possibilities and conditions for the transformation of the Russian economy during the period of overcoming the sanctions of the EU countries and the United States and the transition to a multipolar world order.
Methods: the methodology used for conducting the research is based on a generalization of methods for analyzing the cause-and-effect relationships of complex systems using network methods, as well as information and logical models of the processes of development of socio-economic systems.
Results: the article analyzes the reasons for the transformation of the Russian and world economy in the coming years. The author shows the conditions for the formation and establishment of a market economy in our country, as well as the factors that influenced its development. The successes achieved and the bottlenecks that have formed in the Russian economy are noted. The ways of eliminating problematic situations are considered, including the possibility of restoring innovative potential, the transition of companies to strategic planning of technological development, improving decision-making mechanisms and the formation of an economic model of development in the medium term. The main results of the study are to substantiate the reasons for the transformation of the liberal economic model that has evolved in Russia during the transition to the market economy.
Conclusions and Relevance: the article emphasizes the modern inevitability of structural and technological changes in the Russian economy. The emphasis is placed on the need to eliminate bottlenecks in the domestic economy, which, first of all, include a decrease in the potential of the innovation sphere. According to the author, among the main conditions for the transformation of the Russian economy is the transition from the evolutionary development of companies to the normative planning of technological modernization processes, the improvement of target management mechanisms, as well as the formation of forecast estimates assessments of the prospects for technological development on an innovative basis.
Purpose: development of a mechanism for the ESG transformation of Russian companies based on a critical assessment of the evolution and modern implementation of the ESG agenda in Russia. In the second part of the article, the author solves the problem of analyzing the compliance of the content of the Russian ESG agenda with global risks and developing a mechanism for the ESG transformation of Russian companies.
Methods: methods of theoretical analysis were applied, which made it possible to reveal the conceptual component of the ESG agenda and sustainable development; empirical analysis of the global risk landscape and the implementation of the Russian ESG agenda; a statistical method for determining priority areas for the implementation of the Russian ESG agenda; abstraction and modeling to formalize the ESG transformation mechanism/
Results: the conceptualization of the ESG agenda and sustainable development was carried out, the content basis of which harmonizes with corporate social responsibility. The mobility of the landscape of global risks with a steady trend of the prevalence of environmental and social risks is determined. The results of the implementation of the Russian ESG agenda based on the results of 2022 and the tasks for the near future are summarized. Priority directions and barriers to the implementation of the ESG agenda have been established. Proposed mechanism for ESG transformation of Russian companies.
Conclusions and Relevance: the functioning of national economies is influenced by global threats: environmental and social risks are leading in the next decade. The results of the implementation of the Russian ESG agenda indicate its adequacy to the nature of global risks. In environmental policy, attention is focused on energy saving and waste recycling technologies, in social policy - on social guarantees and support for the professional and personal development of employees, in corporate policy - on consumer surveys and selection of suppliers. Among the barriers to the implementation of the ESG agenda: financial, associated with fears of non-return of investments and high costs for the ESG agenda; methodical, manifested in the absence of uniform standards and ESG indicators; lack of external incentives and low ESG-competence of management. The low awareness of company management about ESG and how to incorporate it into business processes served as the basis for developing a mechanism for transforming a business model based on ESG principles, including an ESG transformation model, operating principles and required competencies.
Purpose: is to develop the theoretical and methodological foundations for the study of digitalization of employment based on an assessment of the depth of penetration of information and communication technologies into labor processes and clarification of the essential characteristics of the phenomenon of "digital employment".
Methods: the goal was achieved using traditional methods: desk research, structural and logical analysis, systematization and generalization of information. The empirical database was formed on the basis of sociological methods: a structured survey of the able-bodied population of the Ural Federal District and an expert survey of representatives of the business and scientific community. The scale of digitalization of employment in the region was determined by the methods of statistical analysis. When processing the results of an expert survey, the methods of semantic and SWOT analysis of content were used.
Results: the relevance of clarifying the conceptual apparatus of digitalization of employment is problematized. Sociological assessments showed a high level of penetration of information and communication technologies (ICT) into the labor sphere (81.3%) and a variety of formats, modes and nature of employment in the digital segment of the labor market, its differences from the non-digital sector. The intensity of the use of ICT has a high variation: from less than 30% during the working day to 70–100%. IT specialists and specialists who use ICT in their work mainly work remotely or in a hybrid format (51%), while those employed using digital platforms work in the office (66.7%). In the segment of platform employment, there are difficulties with self-identification of the place of work and employment status. The essential features of the phenomenon of "digital employment" are identified and the key criteria for classifying employment as a digital type are expertly substantiated, the author's definition of the concept of "digital employment" is formulated, and an enlarged classification is proposed.
Conclusions and Relevance: the application of the author's approach can form the basis for refining the methodology for assessing the scale of digital employment and its characteristics. Digitalization of employment generates both positive and negative consequences. Research on digital employment is promising in terms of sustainability or instability of working conditions and social risks.
INNOVATION
Purpose: of the research is to develop a methodology for assessing the development opportunities of organic agriculture in municipal areas based on their clustering.
Methods: within the framework of the study, methods of comparing averages, grouping, clustering based on Kohonen's self-organizing neural network were used. The study was conducted on the materials of the Penza region, the complex of analyzed indicators was formed on the basis of official statistical data on municipal districts of the region. The applied approach assumes the possibility of carrying out similar calculations based on the materials from other subjects of the Russian Federation.
Results: the study proposes a system of indicators characterizing the development potential of the production of certain types of organic agricultural products on the territory of municipal districts. Clustering of districts was carried out, as a result, 6 clusters were identified, characterized by various combinations of the values of the analyzed factors. The characteristics of each cluster in terms of opportunities for the development of organic agriculture are given. The areas of activity with the best potential are indicated, as well as the main unfavorable factors. 2 clusters have been identified that can be considered as pilot ones for the implementation of the regional program for the development of organic agriculture.
Conclusions and Relevance: at the initial stage of the development of the organic production sector, it is important to identify growth points, types of agricultural activities in certain areas that may be the most promising within the framework of the introduction of the principles of organic farming. Given the diversity and high variability of the values of indicators that determine the potential for the development of organic agriculture in individual territories, clustering can be an effective method that allows differentiating and increasing the targeting of state support measures for the relevant producers. The application of efforts for the development of organic agriculture, taking into account the peculiarities of the formed clusters, will be more effective.
Purpose: is to develop regional import substitution models on the example of the Samara region.
Methods: the paper uses a systematic approach, a method of evaluation and scientific abstractions, a method of classification and systematization, methods of information analysis and synthesis, a method of data visualization.
Results: the author's toolkit of "innovative superiority of domestic products-an analogue of imported ones" has been developed, in the form of a complex of technological advantages available at the enterprise that are not available to others, forming the basis for rapid growth and development of innovations. The authors' hypothesis on the use by enterprises of the region of certain import substitution models based on the tools for the formation of innovative superiority of domestic products-an analogue of imported products, and tools for ensuring national security and overcoming anti-Russian sanctions on the production of products is put forward and proved. It is recommended to include measures to improve this policy, ensuring the development of the market of domestic products based on innovations. A program is proposed to implement for the development of national and regional innovation systems, the formation of regional and sectoral centers of innovation and technological development, the introduction of technologies of excellence and advanced development to ensure the development of the market of domestic industrial products on an innovative basis and meet domestic demand.
Conclusions and Relevance: based on the analysis of the activities of industrial enterprises in the conditions of anti-Russian sanctions, it is concluded that regional policy should promote the production of competitive and innovative products, the introduction of energy and resource-saving technologies at industrial enterprises, and support the weakest enterprises with a high level of imported components. The authors of the proposed regional models of import substitution are presented by the interpretation of the really functioning regional models. In the approach proposed by the authors to the study of regional models of import substitution in industry, models of the scale and dynamics of these processes are substantiated, reflecting the production of products using domestic analogues of production, replacing imported technologies, using indicators of the domestic market, with further access to national and world markets.
Purpose: is to develop an approach to the procedure for updating regional strategic plans in the field of digital transformation, based on the algorithm for solving the problem of optimizing the levels of achievement of project goals in key industries of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation.
Methods: the research was based on the documents of the regulatory framework of strategic planning in the Russian Federation and the texts of approved and updated strategies of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation in the field of digital transformation. Methods of constructing strategic maps and decomposing goals, linear programming and finding the optimal solution were used.
Results: the formulation of the linear programming problem has been detailed to find the optimal values for achieving the goals of digital transformation, taking into account the features of its field of application. The procedure for decomposing strategic goals and assigning coefficients of relationship between them is illustrated. The quantitative estimates obtained by the authors for solving the problem are presented and explained.
Conclusions and Relevance: in the process of developing and subsequent updating of strategic plans for digital transformation, the constituent entities of the Russian Federation are guided by the recommendations of federal authorities and territorial specifics. They take into account new trends in the digital transformation of industries, achievements and limitations on the path to fundamentally different conditions for managing the region and doing business. Digital transformation is proceeding with varying degrees of intensity – there is both territorial and industry differentiation. To a large extent, the speed of transformation processes depends on the ongoing regional policy and the content of the implemented strategic digital projects. The revision of the list of projects and target indicators is due to the necessary adjustment of the goals and emphasis of the transformation process. Assessing the optimal values of industry development indicators, taking into account resource limits, serves the purpose of updating regional strategic plans in the field of digital transformation of key industries and areas.
Purpose: presentation of the results of research on the development and application of methods for calculating integral and generalized indicators intended for assessing the state and making effective management decisions in the field of development and ensuring national security of Russia.
Methods: the following methods were used in the study: methods of statistical data preparation, the method of expert assessments, the T. Saaty method, the method of the Center for political conjuncture, the method of linear convolution.
Results: the article provides an overview of approaches to managing development and ensuring national security in Russia and a number of foreign countries using various indicators. The authors have developed a methodology for forming integral and generalized indicators of development and ensuring the national security of Russia. The calculation of generalized indicators of the state of economic security in the field of civil air transportation and aircraft manufacturing in Russia in 2021-2022 is presented. The authors proposed a mechanism for analytical interpretation of the influence of changes in general and specific indicators on the transformation of the integral indicator.
Сonclusions and Relevance: when studying complex socio-economic phenomena, there is a need to use generalized and integral assessments. This is due to the large amount of information that needs to be analyzed, summarized and structured. Generalized and integral indicators are necessary for forecasting and planning development while ensuring the national security of the country. Such indicators make it possible to quickly and efficiently assess current socio-economic processes, respond in a timely manner and take measures to solve emerging problems. In the article, the authors propose to analyze the dynamics of generalized and integral indicators characterizing the development and ensuring the national security of the country, which makes it possible to identify potential threats and risks and timely take measures to minimize them.
Purpose: is to propose the methodological approach to modeling the behavior of the representatives of generations Y and Z in the process of making decisions about choosing a university and educational program based on differences in their value systems.
Methods: the theoretical and methodological basis for studying the value systems of potential and actual university students is the theory of generations. The findings of the study are based on the methods of analysis of secondary and primary data collected through an online survey of students belonging to generations Y and Z on representative samples of 380 (Y) and 788 (Z) observations in 20 large universities in Russia, as well as the methods of analysis of statistically significant differences in value systems of two generations using T-test for independent samples.
Results: the authors proposed the methodological approach to modeling the behavior of consumers of generations Y and Z in the process of making decisions on choosing a university and educational program. Based on the results of desk and field (empirical) research, at each stage of the decision-making process on selecting an educational institution and program, differences were identified in the value systems of students of generations Y and Z, which determine their behavior: statistically significant differences were identified in 19 out of 65 variables. The study provides description of the behavior patterns of students of the two generations at each stage of the decision-making process which formed the basis for dividing students into target groups. The guidelines for differentiating marketing interactions with target groups of representatives of two generations in the process of educational interactions while making decisions are proposed.
Conclusions and Relevance: differences in the value systems of representatives of generations Y and Z cause differences in behavioral patterns at each stage of the decision-making process. Understanding these differences enables us to model the behavior of the two target groups, differentiate marketing approaches to interaction with them at the stages of the decision-making process while choosing a university and educational program as well as increase the effectiveness of educational interactions in the process of education.
RESEARCH
Purpose: is to empirically substantiate the impact of human capital quality on the economic growth of the regions of Russia on the basis of theoretical and methodological generalization of its main aspects.
Methods: along with traditional methods, specific methods were used, such as content analysis, methods of expert assessments and comparative analysis, and the calculation and graphic technique of Xiang-Yeaple, which allowed to identify the state of human capital quality, as well as establish its optimal structure suitable for dynamic economic development.
Results: the cognitive and non-cognitive parameters of human potential are established as a realistic factor in the dynamics of gross regional product that determines the future pace of economic development. A comparative analysis of the labor demand and supply elasticity coefficients has revealed the degree of impact of its quality in ensuring the corresponding trends of economic growth. It was proven that significant investments in human capital and high levels of its development represent only a factor of ensuring economic growth and don’t guarantee its achievement. Recommendations for ensuring the development of labor potential as determinant of economic development, the growth rates of which largely depends on the human capital quality.
Сonclusions and Relevance: the Russian economy should focus on the formation and development of high-quality human capital through talent-fueled innovation by reforming the existing education system and assessing scientific potential in order to optimize the labor and branch structure suitable for high-quality economic growth. Human capital should be structured considering the parameters of its quality, the level of available labor potential, and the types of activities that require advanced knowledge for systemic economic growth.
Purpose: of the article is to study the existing system of state financial support for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the Tyumen Oblast in order to identify problematic points of SME development in the region and determine of appropriate measures for their adjustment.
Methods: in the part of the study on the quantitative indicators of State financial support for SMEs, statistical analysis was used, including a study of the structure and dynamics of measures implemented, as well as the number of SMEs. To assess the degree of influence of the tools used on the development of SMEs, data from the ongoing program of state financial support in the Tyumen Oblast were used.
Results: in the course of the research, the main determinants constraining the effectiveness of the use of State financial support tools for SMEs in the Tyumen Oblast were identified. The lack of systematic and comprehensive State financial support for SMEs was revealed, which would reflect the vision of the elements of the system and the establishment of the relationships between them, taking into account changes in the external environment and the indication of the most effective support measures for individual areas of SMEs activity.
Сonclusions and Relevance: as a result of the study, the need to modernize the implemented state financial support for SMEs in the Tyumen Oblast in the direction of expanding the list of instruments and diversifying the measures applied to legal entities and individual entrepreneurs has been established. As one of the promising areas, it seems reasonable to create guaranteed sales markets and active connection of SMEs to business networks. This will maximize the effectiveness of measures applied to support economically and socially important SMEs, taking into account their specifics, strengthen the financial condition of enterprises in this sector and thus ensure the stability of the economic development of the region.
Purpose: the article presents an analysis of the rating methods for the possibility of their use to assess the level of scientific and technological development of the Federal districts of the Russian Federation.
Methods: the methods of comparative analysis, the method of arithmetic averages, the method of median ranks, the method of rating and the method of correlation analysis were used in the work. The research is based on materials and data from the ratings of scientific and technological development of regions - the Index of Scientific and Technological Development of the rating agency RIA Rating, the National Rating of Scientific and Technological Development of subjects of the Russian Federation of the Ministry of Education and Science of the Russian Federation and the Rating of Scientific and technological development of subjects of the Russian Federation of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences.
Results: the authors propose the algorithm for researching the scientific and technical development of regions, according to which, first of all, the relevant methodological approaches and assessment methods presented in the scientific literature are analyzed. Based on the results of the analysis of rating methods and author's developments in this area, three ratings of scientific and technological development of the regions of the Russian Federation, carried out by different organizations, were selected for study. The comparative analysis of the selected ratings has been carried out. Based on their materials, an assessment of the current state of scientific and technological development of the Federal districts of the country was carried out. The calculation and assessment of scientific and technological development of the Federal districts of the Russian Federation were carried out using the method of arithmetic averages and the method of median ranks. The correlation between the results of the ratings under consideration is determined.
Conclusions and Relevance: according to the authors, the selected ratings can be used as adequate methods for assessing the level of scientific and technological development of the Federal districts of the Russian Federation. The proposed research algorithm allows us to demonstrate the correlation between the results of scientific and technological development ratings. The authors see the prospects for applying the results of this study in improving the tools for monitoring the scientific and technological development of regions and Federal districts of the Russian Federation.
Purpose: of the presented research is to evaluate various methods of project management, including methodological approaches already used in our country, for their application in the implementation of national projects of the Russian Federation.
Methods: the work used traditional methods of scientific theoretical analysis, including system analysis, as well as an induction approach.
Results: the authors consider the historical aspect of the formation of the project approach as a method used in the professional field of management. In the work, various management approaches presented by different countries were studied and systematized. The analysis of project management experience in the leading countries of the world, as well as in the Russian Federation, was carried out. The study presents the use of the project approach in the implementation of national projects, an assessment of the work of the project implementation monitoring system is given. Based on the identified methodological and organizational problems in the formation of new and implementation of current national projects in Russia, the authors conclude that it is necessary to improve project management methods and monitoring the achievement of performance indicators of national projects.
Conclusions and Relevance: the specifics of public administration in Russia require the development of their own design methods in the management system, which will only rely on those already created in the world, but not copy them completely. So, according to the authors, the best practice will be the use of flexible management methods. Existing methodologies and individual strategies of other countries can only help in developing ideas for both the general concept of the implementation of existing national projects and for designing new ones.
ISSN 2411-796X (Online)