ROLE AND METHODS OF TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING IN ECONOMICS MODERNIZATION
Abstract
Technological forecasting is a process of prediction future technological characteristics, their distribution in time and the rate at which technological parameters, attributes and capabilities change. An attempt is made in the paper to scrutinize the nature, history and practical application of technological forecasting, main methods and techniques currently used for these purposes, feasibility limits of each method, factors determining the choice of the most suitable method. Assessment is given to technological forecasting development prospects.
About the Author
N. N. Zelenov
«Economics Higher School» National Research University
Russian Federation
Post-graduate, «Economics Higher School» National Research University
Russian Federation
Post-graduate, «Economics Higher School» National Research University
References
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2. Meredith Jack R. Mantel, Jr Samuel J. Technological Forecasting // University of Cincinnati 1995 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
3. Rosegger G. The Economics of Production and Innovation, 2nd ed. New York: Pergamon Press, 1986
4. U.S. Bureau of the Census. Statistical Abstract of the United States:, 107th ed. Washington, DC: U.S. Government Printing Office, 1986
Review
For citations:
Zelenov N. ROLE AND METHODS OF TECHNOLOGICAL FORECASTING IN ECONOMICS MODERNIZATION. MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research). 2012;3(2(10)):26-30. (In Russ.)
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