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Assessment of patent activity impact on the financial performance of oil and gas companies under import substitution conditions

https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2026.17.2.270-286

Abstract

Purpose: to assess the impact of patent activity on the financial performance (EBITDA and ROA) of oil and gas companies in the context of import substitution policy in the framework of the open innovation concept.

Methods: comparative, correlation and regression analysis with time lags of data from eight leading vertically integrated oil and gas companies – 4 Russian (PJSC Gazprom, Lukoil, Rosneft, Tatneft) and 4 international (BP, ExxonMobil, Chevron, Shell) for the period 2015– 2023. To assess the impact of import substitution on the operating profit of Russian companies, models with interaction variables were used.

Results: universal positive relationship between patent activity and subsequent growth in EBITDA and ROA (with a 3-year lag) was not identified. Significant differences in the effectiveness of innovation strategies between companies were revealed. The correlation turned out to be strongly positive for Tatneft and ExxonMobil, and negative for Lukoil and Gazprom. This reflects different approaches, from formal patenting and meeting institutional requirements to the targeted creation of commercialized technological assets. Regression analysis with the interaction variable revealed a tendency to weaken the positive impact of patents on operating profits of Russian companies compared with international ones in the context of import substitution policy.

Conclusions and Relevance: the import substitution policy stimulated the quantitative growth of patenting, but weakened its positive impact on the operational efficiency of Russian companies. This indicates a shift towards a more "closed" innovation model, where patent growth is often formal and does not provide the expected financial returns in the medium term. The study confirms that the quality of patents, the effectiveness of their commercialization, and the depth of integration into business processes are critical to financial results, rather than the volume of the patent portfolio.

About the Authors

D. I. Daudi
ITMO University
Russian Federation

Dauddin I. Daudi, Postgraduate student of the Faculty of Technological Management and Innovation

Researcher ID: AAV-6375-2021

Scopus ID: 57224734546

Saint Petersburg


Competing Interests:

The authors declare that there is no Conflict of Interest.



L. V. Silakova
ITMO University
Russian Federation

Liubov V. Silakova, Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Faculty of Technological Management and Innovation

Researcher ID: E-4800-2014

Scopus ID: 57221666368

Saint Petersburg


Competing Interests:

The authors declare that there is no Conflict of Interest.



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For citations:


Daudi D.I., Silakova L.V. Assessment of patent activity impact on the financial performance of oil and gas companies under import substitution conditions. MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research). 2026;17(2):270–286. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2026.17.2.270-286

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