Preview

MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research)

Advanced search

Analysis of the State and Characteristics of the Development Potential of Strategic Planning Tools in the Digital Transformation Conditions of the Economy and Management

https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2018.9.4.502-529

Abstract

Purpose: the purpose of the study is to determine the main directions and conceptual approaches to modernizing analytical and computer support for the planning of strategic development of socio-economic systems on a national scale in the framework of improving the methodology of strategic planning in a digital transformation of the economy and management.

Methods: the issues of improving the tools of strategic planning of socio-economic development are studied in the framework of a system approach to analyzing the construction and functioning of the state management mechanism in the context of active formation of the information society infrastructure and to evaluating of the impact of digital technologies on the content of management tasks in the process of co-evolution of objects and subjects of management in large-scale organizational systems.

Results: the article deals with current problems and key tasks of modernization of scientific and methodological, informational and analytical support of state strategic management of socio-economic development. The trends of the evolution of objects and subjects of management in the conditions of the digital transformation of the information society are investigated. The institutional bases for the construction and operation of the strategic planning system of the Russian Federation are characterized. A block diagram of a complex of heterogeneous models of strategic planning of socio-economic development is given. Design solutions are proposed for building the architecture and developing a prototype of the computer support system for the scenario modeling technology when developing multi-level strategic decisions for planning socio-economic development in the emerging infrastructure of the digital economy is presented.

Conclusions and Relevance: the study showed the importance and relevance of modernization of the methodological and analytical support of the strategic planning system of the Russian Federation, which takes into account the main consequences and requirements of the creation and distribution of digital technologies in various areas of society. The most important characteristics of innovative changes in the structure and content of strategic planning tasks, the solution of which is associated with the unification of the format of quantitative and qualitative assessments in the digital development management environment, are identified. Standardization of technologies for collecting, transmitting, storing and processing large amounts of data allows you to build computer software for the multi-level system of state strategic planning based on an open service-oriented architecture. The main direction of further research and development in the creation of an analytical platform to support strategic planning of socio-economic development can be the creation of a mathematical apparatus and software products for processing and analyzing large amounts of personalized information about the functioning of economic and social agents to identify and assess their potentials and priorities. This will allow to increase the degree of justification and consistency of planned decisions and regulatory measures developed by the state in the field of planning socio-economic development and ensuring the national security of the Russian Federation.

About the Author

O. M. Pisareva
State University of Management
Russian Federation

Olga M. Pisareva, Head of department of mathematical methods in Economics and management, Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor

Researcher ID: S-3225-2018, Scopus Author ID: 57200260200

99, Ryazansky prospect, Moscow, 109542



References

1. Stolyarov I.A. (Ed.-comp.) Anthology of economic classics. In 2 volumes. Мoscow, Ekonov, 1991, 1993. 475 p.; 486 p. (in Russ.)

2. Blaug M. Economic theory in retrospect. Cambridge: CUP Publ., 1978. 750 p. (Russ. ed.: Blaug, M. Ekonomicheskaya mysl' v retrospektive. Moscow, Delo Ltd Publ., 1994. 720 p.)

3. Fetisov G.G., Khudokormov A.G. (eds.) World economic thought. Through the prism of centuries. In 5 volumes. Мoscow, Mysl', 2004. 152 p. (in Russ.)

4. Makroekonomicheskie modeli planirovaniya i prognozirovaniya [Macroeconomic models of planning and forecasting]: Ershov E.B. (Ed.). Moscow, Statistika, 1970. 461 p. (in Russ.)

5. Samarskii A.A., Mikhailov A.P. Mathematical Modeling: Ideas. Methods Examples. Moscow, Fizmatlit , 2005. 320 p. (in Russ.)

6. Systems thinking: managing chaos and complexity: a platform for designing business architecture / Jamshid Gharajedaghi. 3rd ed. 2012. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1016/B978-0-12-385915-0.00018-0 (in Eng.)

7. Canova F. Methods for applied macroeconomic research. Princeton, Princeton University Press. 2007. 492 p. (in Eng.)

8. Belova T.A., Kozelov D.A.Theoretical review of econometric models of research of real national economies. Questions of economy and management = Voprosy ekonomiki i upravleniya. 2016; (5):4–7 (in Russ.)

9. Davis J., Miller G., Russel A. Information revolution: Using the Information Evolution Model to Grow Your Business. Ноbоkеn, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2006. 195 p. (in Eng.)

10. Intriligator M., Bodkin R., Hsiao C. Econometric Models, Techniques, and Applications. London, Prentice-Hall International, Inc., 1996. 654 p. (in Eng.)

11. Veduta E.N., Dzhakubova T.N. Economic Science and Economic Mathematical Modeling. E-journal. Public Administration. 2016; (57):287–307 (in Russ.)

12. Uzyakov M.N. Razrabotka sistemy tablits «zatratyvypusk» v nomenklature vidov ekonomicheskoi deyatel'nosti za 1998–2008 gody [Development of the system of input-output tables in the nomenclature of types of economic activity for 1998–2008]. In: Interindustry balance – history and prospects (reports, articles, materials). Moscow, 2011. pp. 61– 63 (in Russ.)

13. Yaremenko Yu.V. Teoriya i metodologiya issledovaniya mnogourovnevoi ekonomiki [Theory and methodology of research of multi-level economy]. Мoscow, Nauka, 2000. 400 p. (in Russ.)

14. Diebold F. The Past, Present and Future of Macroeconomic Forecasting. Journal of Economic Perspectives. 1998; (12):175–192. Available from: https://doi.org/10.1257/jep.12.2.175 (in Eng.)

15. Krymov V.B. Strategic planning in the management of socio-economic development of the Russian Federation. Moscow, Akademiya, 2010. 352 p. (in Russ.

16. Smirnova O.O. Bases of Strategic Planning of the Russian Federation. Мoscow, Nauka, 2013. 302 p.

17. Antipov V.I., Gel'vanovskii M.I. New Gosplan. Economic Strategies. 2017; 19(2):210–224 (in Russ.)

18. Buzgalin A.V., Kolganov A.I. The Revival of Planning: The Lessons of History (political economy discourse). Theoretical and Practical Aspects of Management = Problemy teorii i praktiki upravleniya. 2016; (1):8–18 (in Russ.)

19. Gaganov A.A. Are there strategic planning in Russia? Available from: http://rusrand.ru/analytics/est-li-vrossii-strategicheskoe-planirovanie [Accessed 11th July 2016] (in Russ.)

20. Zaverskiy S.M., Kiselyova E.S., Kononova V.Yu., Plekhanov D.A., Churkina N.M. Strategic planning of economic development: international experience and applications for Russia. The Bulletin of the Institute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences = Vestnik Instituta Ekonomiki Rossiyskoy akademii nauk. 2016; (2):22–40 (in Russ.)

21. On the harmonization documents of the state strategic planning [Text]: Working paper WP8/2015/01 / A. Klimenko, V. Korolev, D. Dvinskikh, I. Slastikhina; National Research University Higher School of Economics. Moscow: Higher School of Economics Publ. House, 2015. 48 p. (in Russ.)

22. Leontief W. 1966. Input-output economics. 2nd ed. New York: Oxford University Press, 1986 (in Eng.)

23. Lukin M.V. Analysis of the main provisions of the new Federal Law "On Strategic Planning in the Russian Federation". In: Carlyk A.E. (Ed.) Innovative technologies in service: Collection of materials of participants of international Scientific and Practical Conference. 2015. St.-Petersburg, 2015. pp. 67–69 (in Russ.)

24. Seliverstov V.E. Strategic Planning and Strategic Miscounts: Russian Realia and Trends. Regional Research of Russia. 2016; (4):6–46. Available from: doi:10.15372/REG20160401 (in Russ.)

25. Belyanova A.M., Biryukov V.A., Cherkovets V.N. Strategic Planning in Conditions of Modern Russia’s Economy (materials of research seminar on strategic planning). Moscow University Economics Bulletin. 2016; (3):141-158 (in Russ.)

26. Karapetyan S.T. Indicative planning of economics of Russia: in search of new model. Microeconomics. 2011; (5):6–11 (in Russ.)

27. Klimenko A.V., Korolev V.A., Dvinskikh D.Yu., Rychkova N.A., Slastikhina I.Yu. Strategic planning in the Russian Federation: the state of methodological support. Analytical report (based on the results of monitoring the implementation of the Federal Law of 06.28.2014, № 172-FZ "On the strategic planning in the Russian Federation". [Preprint WP8/2016/02] 2016. Moscow, Izd. dom Vysshei shkoly ekonomiki, 2016. 68 p.

28. Kosogova K.I. Actual problems of strategic planning in the Russian Federation (according to results of the Saint-Petersburg XV All-Russia Forum "Strategic Planning in the Regions and Cities of Russia"). Vlast’. 2016; 24(11):223–224 (in Russ.)

29. Kuz'min D.V., Yashchenko V.V., Bychkov A.A. Theoretical development of approaches to the formation of the system of strategic management of social and economic development. State Audit. Law. Economics. 2012; (4):108–112 (in Russ.)

30. Kurbanov A., Plotnikov V. Incorporation instrumentation of strategic and indicative planning practices of implementation of the state economic policy. Transbaikal State University Journal. 2017; 23(7):145–153. Available from: doi:10.21209/2227-9245-2017-23-7-145-153 (in Russ.)

31. Petrov M., Burov V., Shklyaruk M., Sharov A. Gosudarstvo kak platforma: (kiber)gosudarstvo dlya tsifrovoi ekonomiki, tsifrovaya transformatsiya [State as a platform: (cyber) state for the digital economy, digital transformation]. Moscow, Fond «TsSR», 2018. 52 p. (in Russ.)

32. Treier V.V., Kashirin A.I., Shvyrkov Yu.M. Kontseptsiya strategicheskogo planirovaniya dlya Rossii nachala XXI veka [The concept of strategic planning for Russia at the beginning of the XXI century]. Moscow, DialogMGU, 2000. 122 p. (in Russ.)

33. Kosov V.V. On the Design of Social and Economic Development of Russia as a Platform for Consolidation of Society. The Conclusions from the Experience of the USSR State Planning. Economics of Contemporary Russia. 2013; (3(63)):101–121 (in Russ.)

34. Vinogradov V.V. (Ed.) Gosudarstvennoe regulirovanie ekonomiki: mirovoi opyt i reforma v Rossii (teoriya i praktika). Мoscow, Eksmo, 2007. 249 p. (in Russ.)

35. Kat'kalo V.S. Evolyutsiya teorii strategicheskogo upravleniya [Evolution of the theory of strategic management]. 3-e izd. SPb.: Izdat. dom S.-Peterb. gos. un-ta, 2011. 548 p.

36. Tambovtsev V.L. Strategic theory of the firm: state and possible development. Russian Management Journal. 2010; 8(1):5–40 (in Russ.)

37. Mulgan G. The art of public strategy: Mobilizing power and knowledge for the common good. Oxford: OUP Publ., 2008. 322 p. (Russ. ed.: Mulgan, G. Iskusstvo gosudarstvennoy strategii. Mobilizatsiya vlasti i znaniya vo imya vseobshchego blaga. Moscow: Gaydar Inst. Publ., 2011. 472 p.).

38. Martello M., Watson J.G., & Fischer M.J. Implementing A Balanced Scorecard In A Not-ForProfit Organization. Journal of Business & Economics Research (JBER). 2016; 14(3):61–74. Available from: https://doi.org/10.19030/jber.v14i3.9746 (in Eng.)

39. Davis J., Miller G., Russel A. Information revolution: Using the Information Evolution Model to Grow Your Business. Ноbоkеn, NJ: John Wiley & Sons, Inc., 2006. 95 p. (in Eng.)

40. Networks and Organizations: Structure, Form and Action / Ed. by N. Nohria and R.G. Eccles. Boston, 1992. 544 p. (in Eng.)

41. Glaz'ev S.Yu., Yakovets Yu.V. (eds.) International experience in government forecasting, strategic planning and programming. Мoscow, ГУУ, 2008. 124 p.

42. Makarov V.L., Bakhtizin A.R. Sotsial'noe modelirovanie – novyi komp'yuternyi proryv (agentorientirovannye modeli) [Social Modeling – New Computer Breakthrough (Agent-Based Models)]. Moscow, Ekonomika, 2013. 295 p. (in Russ.)

43. Popov E.V., Semyachkov K.A. Comparative analysis of strategic aspects of development of digital economy. Perm University Herald. ECONOMY. 2018; 13(3):19–36. Available from: doi:10.17072/1994-9960-2018-1-19-36 (in Russ.)

44. Akaev A.A., Korotaev A.V., Malinetskii G.G. (eds.) Prognoz i modelirovanie krizisov i mirovoi dinamiki [Forecasting and modeling of crises and world dynamics]. Moscow, URSS, 2008. 352 p. (in Russ.)

45. Sarkisyana S.A. (Ed.) Teoriya prognozirovaniya i prinyatiya reshenii [Theory of Forecasting and Decision Making]. Moscow, Vysshaya shkola, 1977. 355 p. (in Russ.)

46. Arrow К. Application of Control Theory to Economic Growth. Mathematics of the Decision Sciences. 1968; (2):85–119 (in Eng.)

47. Theil H. Statistical decomposition analysis with applications in the social and administrative sciences. Amsterdam, North Holland Publishing Company, 1972. 337 p. (in Eng.)

48. Novikov A.M., Novikov D.A. Metodologiya nauki [Science methodology]. 3rd edition. Moscow, Editorial URSS, 2015. 272 p. (in Russ.)


Review

For citations:


Pisareva O.M. Analysis of the State and Characteristics of the Development Potential of Strategic Planning Tools in the Digital Transformation Conditions of the Economy and Management. MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research). 2018;9(4):502-529. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2018.9.4.502-529

Views: 1492


Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.


ISSN 2079-4665 (Print)
ISSN 2411-796X (Online)