VARIANTS OF DEVELOPMENT OF THE ECONOMY REGION IN THE PRESENCE OF THE PREVAILING TYPE OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY ON THE EXAMPLE OF THE LIPETSK REGION

The article analyzes the main provisions of the strategy of social and economic development of the Lipetsk region for the period until 2020. The goal, tasks and indicators for the development of the Lipetsk region for the period up to 2020 are presented, and a scheme for justifying scenarios for the development of the region's economy with the predominance of a type of economic activity (PTEA) on the basis of a qualitative analysis of the established additional parameters. The testing scenarios for the development of the Lipetsk region have been tested on the basis of an analysis of the costs incurred by participants in the region's economy, which are necessary to implement the economic development scenarios of the Lipetsk region by years. Approbation of the process of substantiating scenarios for the development of the region's economy based on the example of the Lipetsk region was carried out. Preliminarily established and justified the most optimal scenario for the development of the economy of the Lipetsk region in conditions of the predominance of the type of economic activity "Processing industries".

Purpose: to develop recommendations for choosing the preferred option for the development of the economy of the Lipetsk region on the basis of a detailed analysis of strategic development scenarios to improve the manageability of the region's economy in conditions of the predominance of a particular type of economic activity.

Methods: the scientific results are based on the main provisions of the neoclassical institutional theory, the principles of sustainable development and the basic postulates of the regional economy. The article uses comparative, analytical and economic-statistical research methods.

Results: the process of substantiating scenarios for the development of the region's economy with PTEA is formulated, additional parameters for comparing scenarios that take into account the specifics of the development of the region's economy with PTEA are described, steps for qualitative analysis of indicators for justifying scenarios for the development of the region's economy are described, scenarios for the development of the Lipetsk region are tested, development of the economy of the Lipetsk region.

Conclusions and relevance: the practical importance of the developed methodological provisions is the possibility of their application to manage changes in the economy of the region, aimed at increasing the sustainability of its development. In particular, in the Lipetsk region, it is advisable to implement a basic scenario of development, which implies a balanced growth of the prevailing and other types of economic activity.

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