EXTERNAL AND INTERNAL CHALLENGES AND PROSPECTS FOR MODERNIZATION OF THE RUSSIAN ECONOMY

Purpose: of the article is to analyze the causes of external and internal challenges that have emerged on the path of development of the Russian economy. The reasons for these challenges are also outlined and possible ways of overcoming them are outlined.

Methods: the methodology of the research is based on the use of a systematic approach to the formation of a development space, the theory of competitive struggle, the construction of an information-logical model of a full cycle of justification and development management by identifying and eliminating bottlenecks in the development of socio-economic systems.

Results: of the research consist of an attempt to rationalize the reasons for the emergence of external and internal challenges that counteract the country's socioeconomic development, and largely due to previous development mistakes, as well as the search for ways to eliminate these causes and their consequences. In particular, the list of external challenges for Russia, formed in recent years, is given and their causes are analyzed. It is noted that internal challenges affecting socio-economic development are due to a variety of reasons, formed both under the influence of external challenges, and as a result ofinefficient management of the economy. The main directions for eliminating the contradictions between the challenges and the causes of their occurrence are identified, on the basis of which a step-by-step approach to the construction and adjustment of the model of the Russian economy is recommended. The author considers three possible strategies of technological modernization of the economy, based on qualitative preferences. It is emphasized that the choice of the most preferable strategy for the development of the domestic economy can be local, and depends on the development of scenarios and the specific conditions for its implementation.

Conclusions and Relevance: the main result of the article is the conclusion that it is necessary to counteract the existing challenges on the basis of restoring and further developing the competitiveness potential, including its key components, such as production and economic, defense, scientific and technological, personnel, etc., to the Russian Federation. An important direction of reforming the mechanisms of managing the Russian economy at different levels of management is the widespread use of project management.

1. Tsiganov V.V., Borodin V.A., Shishkin G.B. Intellectual enterprise: mechanisms for the acquisition of capital and power. Moscow: "University Book". 2004. 768 р. (in Russ.)

2. Ivanter V.V. Structural and investment policy as an instrument for modernizing the Russian economy. Studies on Russian Economic Development . 2017; 28(4):364–372. DOI: 10.1134/S1075700717040086 (in Eng.)

3. Kulakin G.K. The Analysis and Estimation of Technological Potential of Middle Term Planning Horizon. Scientific works. Institute for Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2016; (1):399–422 (in Russ.)

4. Prospects for the development of the Russian economy: forecast until 2030. Мonograph / ed. acad. V.V. Ivanter, Doctor of Economics M.Yu. Xenophonov. Moscow: Ankil, 2013. 408 p. (in Russ.)

5. Ivanter V.V., Porfiryev B.N., Shirov A.A., Shokin I.N. Basis of structural-investment policy in modern conditions of russian economy. Finance: Theory and Practice . 2017; 21(1):6–15 (in Russ.)

6. Ivanter V.V. Recovery of economic growth in Russia. Scientific report of IEF RAS. Рroblems of forecasting . 2016; (5):3–17 (in Russ.)

7. Budanov I.A. The Transition from Production to Reproduction Model of Economic Development in Russia. Scientific works. Institute for Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences . 2016; (1):37–64. (in Russ.)

8. Komkov N.I. Innovative Modernization of Economy: Problems and Instruments for their Solution. Scientific works: Institute of Economic Forecasting of RAS . 2016; 14(1):10-36 (in Russ.)

9. Komkov N.I. , Bondareva N.N., Romantsov V.S., Didenko N.I., Skripnyuk D.F. Metodicheskie i organizatsionnye osnovy upravleniya razvitiem kompanii [Methodological and Organizational Basics of Company Development Management]. Moscow, 2015. 520 p. (in Russ.)

10. Apokin A.U., Belousov D.R., Salnikov V.A., Frolov I.E. Long-term socio-economic challenges for Russia and the demand for new technologies. Forsythe. 2015; 9(4):6–17 (in Russ.)

11. Shirov A.A., Sayapova, A.R., Gusev M.S., Yantovsky A.A. Scientific-technological component of the macro-structural forecast. Рroblems of forecasting . 2016; (6):3–17 (in Russ.)

12. Structurally-investment policy in order to ensure economic growth in Russia: monograph / Ed. acad. V.V. Ivanter. Moscow: The Scientific adviser. 2017. 195 p. (in Russ.)

13. Structural and investment policy for sustainable growth and modernization of the economy: scientific report / Ed. acad. V.V. Ivanter. Moscow: Institute for Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences. 2017. 34 р. (in Russ.)

14. Ivanter V.V. Structural-investment component of long-term economic strategy of Russia. Society and Economy . 2017; (8):5–32 (in Russ.)

15. Inozemtsev V.L. Seven Domestic Political Constraints of Russian Modernization. Journal of the New Economic Association . 2015; 4(28):189–194 (in Russ.)

16. Saralidze A.M., Donichev O.A. The ways of reduction of differentiation in development of the regions on the base of innovative economic integration. Economic revival of Russia . 2013; (4(38)):180–187 (in Russ.)

17. Asaul A.N. Modernization of Russia on the basis of their identity. Economic revival of Russia . 2011; (1(27)):4–7 (in Russ.)

18. Kuznec S. Modern economic growth research and reflection. Politicians about the economy. Lectures of Nobel laureates in economics. Moscow: Modern Economics and Law. 2005. Р. 142–159 (In Russ.)

19. Suvorov N.V., Balashova E.E. Interindustry analysis of the interrelation of structural changes, the effectiveness of foreign economic relations and the scale of investment activity in the domestic economy. Problems of forecasting . 2002; (5):48–63 (In Russ.)

20. Polterovich Viktor, Dmitriev Mikhail, Yakovlev Andrey, Gurvich Evsey, Auzan Alexander. The fate of economic programs and reforms in Russia ( Proceedings of the roundtable discussion at the XVIII April international academic conference on economic and social development ). Voprosy Ekonomiki. 2017; 6:22–44 (in Russ.)

21. Ivanova N.I., Machavariani G.I. Russia in World Economy: Current Status and Development Trends. The Journal of the New Economic Association . 2015; (2(26)):231–236 (in Russ.)

22. National innovation system in Russia and the EU / edited by: V.V. Ivanov, N.I. Ivanova, Th. Rozeboom, H. Gysbers. M.: CIPRAN Russian Academy of Sciences; 2006. 280 p. (in Russ.)

23. Suslov V.I., Ershov Yu.S., Ibragimov N.M. Macroeconomic interactions in the Russian space. Economic Strategies . 2016; 5(139):64– 71 (in Russ.)

24. Yaremenko Ya.V. Selected works in 3 books. Book 1. Theory and methodology of multilevel economy research. Moscow: Science. 1997. 402 p. (in Russ.)