Analysis of opportunities and conditions of transformation of the Russian economy
https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.4.524-537
Abstract
Purpose: is to study the reasons, possibilities and conditions for the transformation of the Russian economy during the period of overcoming the sanctions of the EU countries and the United States and the transition to a multipolar world order.
Methods: the methodology used for conducting the research is based on a generalization of methods for analyzing the cause-and-effect relationships of complex systems using network methods, as well as information and logical models of the processes of development of socio-economic systems.
Results: the article analyzes the reasons for the transformation of the Russian and world economy in the coming years. The author shows the conditions for the formation and establishment of a market economy in our country, as well as the factors that influenced its development. The successes achieved and the bottlenecks that have formed in the Russian economy are noted. The ways of eliminating problematic situations are considered, including the possibility of restoring innovative potential, the transition of companies to strategic planning of technological development, improving decision-making mechanisms and the formation of an economic model of development in the medium term. The main results of the study are to substantiate the reasons for the transformation of the liberal economic model that has evolved in Russia during the transition to the market economy.
Conclusions and Relevance: the article emphasizes the modern inevitability of structural and technological changes in the Russian economy. The emphasis is placed on the need to eliminate bottlenecks in the domestic economy, which, first of all, include a decrease in the potential of the innovation sphere. According to the author, among the main conditions for the transformation of the Russian economy is the transition from the evolutionary development of companies to the normative planning of technological modernization processes, the improvement of target management mechanisms, as well as the formation of forecast estimates assessments of the prospects for technological development on an innovative basis.
About the Author
N. I. Komkov
Institute of Economic Forecasting of the Russian Academy of Sciences
Russian Federation
Competing Interests:
Russian Federation
Nikolai I . Komkov, Doctor of Economic Sciences, Professor; Head of Laboratory Organizational and Economic Problems of Management of Scientific and Technological Development
Scopus ID: 25655112100
Moscow
Competing Interests:
The author declares that there is no conflict of interests, including those related to the fact that he is the Editor-in-Chief of the journal "MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research)".
References
1. Galbraith J.K. The new industrial state. Boston: Houghton Miffin Co., 1967. 427 p. (Russ. ed.: Galbraith J. The new Industrial Society. Moscow: AST Publ.; St. Petersburg: Tranzitkniga Publ., 2004. 602 p.)
2. Schumpeter J.A. Capitalism, socialism and democracy. London: Routledge Publ., 1976. 437 p. (Russ. ed.: Schumpeter J.A. Capitalism, socialism and democracy. Moscow: Economics Publ., 1995. 540 p.)
3. Volkonsky V.A. Meaningful attitudes and the role of the state in the era of a multipolar world. Moscow: Book World, 2021. 384 p. (In Russ.)
4. Glazyev S.Yu. Report on the Underlying Causes of the Growing Chaos and Measures to Overcome the Economic Crisis. Moscow: Financial University, 2020. 98 p. (In Russ.)
5. Glazyev S.Yu. The Last World War: The US starts and loses. Moscow: Book World, 2016. 505 p. (In Russ.)
6. Ivanter V.V. et al. Structural and investment policy as an instrument for modernizing the Russian economy. Studies on Russian Economic Development . 2017; (4(163)):3–16. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/xnsovq. https://doi.org/10.1134/S1075700717040086 (In Eng.)
7. Polterovich V.M. Strategy for the implementation of the Russian economy: an interactive growth management system. In: Innovation: challenges and herspectives . Novosibirsk: Foundation for Socio-Prognostic Research "Trends", 2013. P. 94-126. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/torpzj (In Russ.)
8. Polterovich V.M. Towards a general theory of socio-economic development. Part 1. Geography, institutions, or culture? Voprosy Ekonomiki . 2018; (11):5–26. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/mgnkot. https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2018-11-5-26 (In Russ.)
9. Polterovich V.M. Towards a general theory of socio-economic development. Part 2. Evolution of coordination mechanisms. Voprosy Ekonomiki . 2018; (12):77–102. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/yphcxz. https://doi.org/10.32609/0042-8736-2018-12-77-102 (In Russ.)
10. Jantsch E. Techological forecasting in perspective: A framework for technological forecasting, its technique and organisation; a description of activities and an annotated bibliography. Paris: OECD, 1967. 401 p. (Russ. ed.: Jantsch E. Forecasting of Scientific and Technological Progress. Moscow: Progress Publ., 1974. 592 p.)
11. Abalkin L.I. Search for a way in a changing world. In: Selected Works : in IV volumes. Vol. 4. Moscow: Economics, 2000. 798 p. (In Russ.)
12. Anchishkin A.I. Science – Technology – Economics. Moscow: Economics, 1989. 383 p. (In Russ.)
13. Ivanova N.I. National Innovative Systems. Moscow: Science, 2002. 244 p. (In Russ.)
14. Makarov V.L. Social clustering: Russian challenge. Moscow: Business Atlas, 2010. 270 р. (In Russ.)
15. Varshavsky A.E. Questionable Innovations: Risks for Humankind. Economic, Moscow: Lenand, 2014. 328 с. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/vhwbdf (In Russ.)
16. Kulakin G.K. The analysis and estimation of technological potential of middle term planning horizon. Scientific Works of ECFOR RAS. 2016; 14:399–422. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/xgsmsh (In Russ.)
17. Burkov V.I. Fundamentals of the Mathematical Theory of Active Systems. Moscow: Science, 1977. 256 p. (In Russ.)
18. Management of the development of large-scale systems: monograph / ed. A.D. Tsvirkun. Moscow: Fizmatlit, 2012. 494 p. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/toyqrt (In Russ.)
19. Vilensky P.L., Livshits V.N., Smolyak-Livshits S.A. Evaluating the effectiveness of investment projects: theory and practice. Moscow: Delo, 2008. 1104 p. (In Russ.)
20. Methodological recommendations for evaluating the effectiveness of investment projects / V.V. Kossov, V.N. Livshits, A.G. Shakhnazarov, etc. Official ed. (2 ed.). Moscow: Ekonomika, 2000. 422 p. (In Russ.)
21. Scientific and technological development of the Russian Federation: state and prospects / ed. L.E. Mindeli; Institute for Problems of Science Development of the Russian Academy of Sciences. Moscow: Institute for Problems of Science Development RAS, 2010. 422 p. (In Russ.)
22. Diskin I.E. Alternatives to Russian modernization. In: Innovations: challenges and prospects. Novosibirsk: Foundation for Socio-Prognostic Research "Trends", 2013. P. 157–166. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/torpzj (In Russ.)
23. Innovative and technological development of the Russian economy: problems, factors, strategies, forecasts: Monograph / ed. Ivanter V.V.; INP RAS. Moscow: MAKS Press, 2005. 591 p. (In Russ.)
24. Forecasting the prospects of technological modernization of the Russian economy: Monograph; INP RAS. Moscow: MAX Press, 2010. 816 p. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/qupvbl (In Russ.)
25. Problems and prospects for technological renewal of the Russian economy: Collective monograph; INP RAS. Moscow: MAKS Press, 2007. 738 p. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/qscvwz (In Russ.)
26. Shultz V.L., Kulba V.V., Shelkov A.B. et al. Models and methods of analysis and synthesis of scenarios for the development of socio-economic systems: in 2 books. Moscow: Science, 2012. 357 p. EDN: https://elibrary.ru/rcinch (In Russ.)
Review
For citations:
Komkov N.I. Analysis of opportunities and conditions of transformation of the Russian economy. MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research). 2023;14(4):524-537. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.18184/2079-4665.2023.14.4.524-537
Views:
721
Email this article 