mirМИР (Модернизация. Инновации. Развитие)MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research)2079-46652411-796XSchool of Public Administrationmir-259Research ArticleМОДЕРНИЗАЦИЯMODERNIZATIONРОССИЯ И МИР: ПЕРЕХОД К НОВОЙ ПАРАДИГМЕ РАЗВИТИЯ НЕИЗБЕЖЕНVISIONARY APPROACH TO THE DEVELOPMENT PROBLEMS OF RUSSIA AND THE WORLDБондаренкоВ. М.BondarenkoV. M.

Candidate of Economic Sciences, Leading Researcher, RAS Institute of Economics; Academician of the Russian Academy of Natural Sciences and International Futures Research Academy; Director, International N.D. Kondtratieff Foundation – Moscow, Russia

bondarenko@ikf2011.ruInstitute of Economics of the Russian Academy of Sciences 32, Nakhimovskii avenue, Moscow 117218Russian Federation20152004201663-2617Copyright © Бондаренко В.М., 20162016Бондаренко В.М.Bondarenko V.M.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.mir-nayka.com/jour/article/view/259

В статье дается анализ кризисной ситуации в России и мире. Утверждается невозможность решения проблем социального и экономического развития, ускорения экономического роста и формирования новой модели в рамках существующей парадигмы развития. С позиций мировоззренческого подхода обосновывается объективная неизбежность и возможность перехода на новую парадигму развития. Для сокращения времени в осуществлении парадигмального перехода и ускоренного достижения объективно заданной цели развития, предлагается разработать и реализовать мега-проект по формированию новой модели жизни и механизм ее реализации – согласование на каждом местном уровне интересов государства, общества, бизнеса с интересами конкретного человека.

The article substantiates the position, by which the causes of the crisis situation in Russia and the world can be only understood through the prism of the visionary approach. This position has been confi rmed by the many-year search that resulted in development of the new cognition methodology, which made it possible to identify objective regularities in the human community development and to see the road for its further evolution.

системный кризисмировоззрениеновая методология познанияновая парадигма развитиямегапроектsystemic crisisworldviewnew methodology of cognitionhuman individualgoaltimesole effi ciency criteriacoordination of interestsnew model of life organizationReferencesGrinberg R. S. Est podozreniya, chto vlast spetsialno obvalila rubl. [There Are Suspicions that the Authorities Dropped the Ruble Intentionally]. On-line resource. http://me-forum.ru/media/news/3651 23.12.2014.Grinberg R. S. Est podozreniya, chto vlast spetsialno obvalila rubl. [There Are Suspicions that the Authorities Dropped the Ruble Intentionally]. On-line resource. http://me-forum.ru/media/news/3651 23.12.2014.Ulyukayev dal negativnyi prognoz dlya RF. [Ulyukaev’s Negative Forecast for the RF]. On-line resource: http://sobesednik.ru/politika/20141218-ulyukaev-dal-negativnyyprognoz-budushchego-ekonomiki-rf 18.12.2014 .Ulyukayev dal negativnyi prognoz dlya RF. [Ulyukaev’s Negative Forecast for the RF]. On-line resource: http://sobesednik.ru/politika/20141218-ulyukaev-dal-negativnyyprognoz-budushchego-ekonomiki-rf 18.12.2014 .Astashenkov A. Posledniy raz zhestkaya ekonomiya privela k fashizmu. [Last Time, the Strict Saving Resulted in Fascism] // Russkaya planeta, July 15, 2013.Astashenkov A. Posledniy raz zhestkaya ekonomiya privela k fashizmu. [Last Time, the Strict Saving Resulted in Fascism] // Russkaya planeta, July 15, 2013.Bondarenko V. M. Glavnoye usloviye uspeshnoi modernizatsii Rossii. [The Major Precondition for Russia’s Successful Modernization]. М.: RAS Institute of Economics, 2012.Bondarenko V. M. Glavnoye usloviye uspeshnoi modernizatsii Rossii. [The Major Precondition for Russia’s Successful Modernization]. М.: RAS Institute of Economics, 2012.Kant I. Idea for a Universal History with a Cosmopolitan Purpose // I. Kant. Collected Works: in 6 vols. М., 1963–1966. Vol. 6. pp. 8.Kant I. Idea for a Universal History with a Cosmopolitan Purpose // I. Kant. Collected Works: in 6 vols. М., 1963–1966. Vol. 6. pp. 8.RIO: Reorganization of International Order. A Report to the Club of Rome // Tinberger, Dolman van Ettinger (Ed.), New York. EP Dutton, 1976.RIO: Reorganization of International Order. A Report to the Club of Rome // Tinberger, Dolman van Ettinger (Ed.), New York. EP Dutton, 1976.Laszlo E. et al. Goals for Mankind. A Report to the Club of Rome on the New Horizons of Global Community. N.Y.: Dutton, 1977.Laszlo E. et al. Goals for Mankind. A Report to the Club of Rome on the New Horizons of Global Community. N.Y.: Dutton, 1977.Fritjof Capra, The Tao of Physics, Shambhala Publications, 1975.Fritjof Capra, The Tao of Physics, Shambhala Publications, 1975.Prognozirovaniye buduschego: novaya paradigma. [Forecasting the Future: A New Paradigm] // Ed. by Fetisov G.G., Bondarenko V.M.: “Ekonomika” Publishers, 2008. 283 p.Prognozirovaniye buduschego: novaya paradigma. [Forecasting the Future: A New Paradigm] // Ed. by Fetisov G.G., Bondarenko V.M.: “Ekonomika” Publishers, 2008. 283 p.Prognozirovaniye buduschego skvoz’ prizmu novoi metodologii poznaniya, ili prognozirovat buduscheye mozhno tolko iz buduschego! Chapter 6 in Prognozirovaniye buduschego: novaya paradigma. [Forecasting the Future: A New Paradigm] // Ed. by Fetisov G.G., Bondarenko V.M.: “Ekonomika” Publishers, 2008. pp. 220–270.Prognozirovaniye buduschego skvoz’ prizmu novoi metodologii poznaniya, ili prognozirovat buduscheye mozhno tolko iz buduschego! Chapter 6 in Prognozirovaniye buduschego: novaya paradigma. [Forecasting the Future: A New Paradigm] // Ed. by Fetisov G.G., Bondarenko V.M.: “Ekonomika” Publishers, 2008. pp. 220–270.Bondarenko V. M. Beskrizisnoye razvitiye: mif ili realnost. [Crisis-Free Development: A Myth or the Reality]. M.: LENAND, 2014. 304 p. (Relata Refero).Bondarenko V. M. Beskrizisnoye razvitiye: mif ili realnost. [Crisis-Free Development: A Myth or the Reality]. M.: LENAND, 2014. 304 p. (Relata Refero).Bondarenko V. M. Innovatsii, informatsionnoye obschestvo i dolgosrochnata strategiya razvitiya Rossii. [Innovations, Information Society and Long-Term Development Strategy of Russia] // Informatsionnoye obschestvo. 2008. № 5–6, pp. 109–104 and 2009. № 1, pp. 78–83.Bondarenko V. M. Innovatsii, informatsionnoye obschestvo i dolgosrochnata strategiya razvitiya Rossii. [Innovations, Information Society and Long-Term Development Strategy of Russia] // Informatsionnoye obschestvo. 2008. № 5–6, pp. 109–104 and 2009. № 1, pp. 78–83.Bondarenko V. Innovations, Information Society and Long-Term Development Strategy of Russia. // Journal of Economic Studies indexed and abstracted by Journal of Economic Literature / EconLit, Institute of Economics at Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, издания на Америкаската икономическая ассоциация (АИА), как-то и в RePEc, EBSCO, SCOPUS. http://www.iki.bas.bg/bg/node/137, JEL. 011, 2009. Година XVIII, книга 3.Bondarenko V. Innovations, Information Society and Long-Term Development Strategy of Russia. // Journal of Economic Studies indexed and abstracted by Journal of Economic Literature / EconLit, Institute of Economics at Bulgarian Academy of Sciences, издания на Америкаската икономическая ассоциация (АИА), как-то и в RePEc, EBSCO, SCOPUS. http://www.iki.bas.bg/bg/node/137, JEL. 011, 2009. Година XVIII, книга 3.Bondarenko V. M. Modernizatsiya Rossii: dve paradigmy razvitiya. [Modernization of Russia: Two Development Paradigms] // MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research) = MIR (Modernizatsiya. Innovatsiya. Razvitiye). 2011. № 1. pp. 4–12.Bondarenko V. M. Modernizatsiya Rossii: dve paradigmy razvitiya. [Modernization of Russia: Two Development Paradigms] // MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research) = MIR (Modernizatsiya. Innovatsiya. Razvitiye). 2011. № 1. pp. 4–12.Bondarenko, V. 2011. Global Processes and Their Dynamics: Two Paradigms of Development. Journal of Globalization Studies 2/2: 80–89.Bondarenko, V. 2011. Global Processes and Their Dynamics: Two Paradigms of Development. Journal of Globalization Studies 2/2: 80–89.Bondarenko V. M. Perekhod k beskrizisnomu razvitiyu – mif ili realnost? [Transition to the Crisis-Free Development: A Myth or the Reality?] // Ekonomika і pronozuvannya, Ukraine National Academy of Science. 2012. № 3. pp. 7–22.Bondarenko V. M. Perekhod k beskrizisnomu razvitiyu – mif ili realnost? [Transition to the Crisis-Free Development: A Myth or the Reality?] // Ekonomika і pronozuvannya, Ukraine National Academy of Science. 2012. № 3. pp. 7–22.Bondarenko V. M. Novaya model rosta: otkuda zhdat innovatsionnogo ryvka. [The New Model of Growth: Wherefrom the Innovational Leap to Be Expected] // Integral. 2013. № 3. pp. 89–93.Bondarenko V. M. Novaya model rosta: otkuda zhdat innovatsionnogo ryvka. [The New Model of Growth: Wherefrom the Innovational Leap to Be Expected] // Integral. 2013. № 3. pp. 89–93.Bondarenko V. M. Faktory rosta ekonomiki Rossii v usloviyakh razvernuvshegosya globalnogo sistemnogo krizisa. [Factors of Russia’s Economic Growth in the Circumstances of the Unfolded Global Systemic Crisis] // MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research) = MIR (Modernizatsiya. Innovatsiya. Razvitiye). 2013. № 3. pp. 12–19.Bondarenko V. M. Faktory rosta ekonomiki Rossii v usloviyakh razvernuvshegosya globalnogo sistemnogo krizisa. [Factors of Russia’s Economic Growth in the Circumstances of the Unfolded Global Systemic Crisis] // MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research) = MIR (Modernizatsiya. Innovatsiya. Razvitiye). 2013. № 3. pp. 12–19.Bondarenko V. M. Beskrizisnoye razvitiye: mif ili realnost? [Crisis-Free Development: A Myth or the Reality?]. 2nd edition, revised and enlarged. М.: LENAND, 2014.304 p.Bondarenko V. M. Beskrizisnoye razvitiye: mif ili realnost? [Crisis-Free Development: A Myth or the Reality?]. 2nd edition, revised and enlarged. М.: LENAND, 2014.304 p.Bondarenko V. Transition to the crisis-free development: a myth or the reality? // World Futures. 2014, № 70.Bondarenko V. Transition to the crisis-free development: a myth or the reality? // World Futures. 2014, № 70.Bondarenko V. M. Upravlyat’ vremenem – znachit upravlyat’ razvitiyem, ili predlozneniya po realizatsii megaproyekta “Territoriya operezhayuschego razvitiya: vsyo dlya cheloveka”. [To Govern the Time Means to Govern Development, or Proposals for Realization of the ‘Territory of Proactive Development: Everything for People’ Mega-Project” // Tranzitnaya ekonomika (Kazakhstan). 2014, № 1(97).Bondarenko V. M. Upravlyat’ vremenem – znachit upravlyat’ razvitiyem, ili predlozneniya po realizatsii megaproyekta “Territoriya operezhayuschego razvitiya: vsyo dlya cheloveka”. [To Govern the Time Means to Govern Development, or Proposals for Realization of the ‘Territory of Proactive Development: Everything for People’ Mega-Project” // Tranzitnaya ekonomika (Kazakhstan). 2014, № 1(97).Territoriya operezhayuschego razvitiya: vsyo dlya cheloveka. [Territory of Proactive Development: Everything for People]. The MEF Resolution. (Online resource) http://me- forum. ru/media/news/2496/Territoriya operezhayuschego razvitiya: vsyo dlya cheloveka. [Territory of Proactive Development: Everything for People]. The MEF Resolution. (Online resource) http://me- forum. ru/media/news/2496/Kitai za pyat’ let investiroval vpustuyu $ 6.8 trln. [Within Five Years, China Invested $ 6.8 Trillion In Vain]. Vedomosti (Online resource) http://finance. rambler.ru/news/economics/154332396.h t m l ? u t m _ s o u r c e = n e w s & u t m _content=finance&utm_medium=midcol&utm_campaign=cross_promo. 28.11.2014Kitai za pyat’ let investiroval vpustuyu $ 6.8 trln. [Within Five Years, China Invested $ 6.8 Trillion In Vain]. Vedomosti (Online resource) http://finance. rambler.ru/news/economics/154332396.h t m l ? u t m _ s o u r c e = n e w s & u t m _content=finance&utm_medium=midcol&utm_campaign=cross_promo. 28.11.2014Bondarenko V. M. Mirovozzrencheskiy podkhod k resheniyu problem informatsionnoi bezopasnosti v usloviyakh stanovleniya informatsionnogo obschestva i sistemnogo krizisa v mire i v Rossii. [The Visionary Approach to Resolution of the Information Security Problems in the Context of Developing Information Society and Systemic Crisis in the World and Russia]. // Informatsionnyye tekhnolohii, svyaz’ i zaschita informatsii MVD Rossii. Digest Journal. М.: RF Ministry of the Interior, 2012. Issue 2. pp. 48–52.Bondarenko V. M. Mirovozzrencheskiy podkhod k resheniyu problem informatsionnoi bezopasnosti v usloviyakh stanovleniya informatsionnogo obschestva i sistemnogo krizisa v mire i v Rossii. [The Visionary Approach to Resolution of the Information Security Problems in the Context of Developing Information Society and Systemic Crisis in the World and Russia]. // Informatsionnyye tekhnolohii, svyaz’ i zaschita informatsii MVD Rossii. Digest Journal. М.: RF Ministry of the Interior, 2012. Issue 2. pp. 48–52.Akayev A., Rudskoy A. Sinergeticheskiy effect NBIC-tekhnologiy i mirovoi ekonomicheskiy rost v pervoi polovine XXI veka. [The Synergetic Effect of NBIC-Technologies and the World Economic Growth in the First Half of the 21st Century] // Ekonomicheskaya politika. Online journal. № 2, 2014. http://iep.ru/publikatcii/ showbib/6756.htmlAkayev A., Rudskoy A. Sinergeticheskiy effect NBIC-tekhnologiy i mirovoi ekonomicheskiy rost v pervoi polovine XXI veka. [The Synergetic Effect of NBIC-Technologies and the World Economic Growth in the First Half of the 21st Century] // Ekonomicheskaya politika. Online journal. № 2, 2014. http://iep.ru/publikatcii/ showbib/6756.html

The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.