mirМИР (Модернизация. Инновации. Развитие)MIR (Modernization. Innovation. Research)2079-46652411-796XSchool of Public Administration10.18184/2079-4665.2022.13.1.73-93mir-1217Research ArticleИННОВАЦИИINNOVATIONАнтикризисная эффективность государственной поддержки бизнеса в условиях пандемии коронавируса: эмпирический анализCrisis Effectiveness of Government Business Support in the Conditions of the Coronavirus Pandemic: an Empirical Analysishttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-1136-6804КочетковЕ. П.KochetkovE. P.

Кочетков Евгений Павлович - доцент Департамента менеджмента и инноваций, факультет «Высшая школа управления», кандидат экономических наук.

125993, Москва, Ленинградский проспект, д. 49.

Evgeniy P. Kochetkov - Associate Professor of the Department of Management and Innovation, Faculty of Higher School of Management, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Candidate of Economic Sciences, Associate Professor.

49, Leningradsky  Prospekt, Moscow, 125993.

kochetkove@mail.ruФинансовый университет при Правительстве Российской ФедерацииРоссияFinancial University under the Government of the Russian FederationRussian Federation2022300320221317393Copyright © Кочетков Е.П., 20222022Кочетков Е.П.Kochetkov E.P.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://www.mir-nayka.com/jour/article/view/1217Цель

Цель: анализ зарубежного опыта государственной антикризисной поддержки бизнеса в условиях пандемии коронавируса на основе усовершенствованной методологии оценки эффективности такой поддержки.

Метод или методология проведения работы. Исследование проведено на основе методов логического и сравнительного анализа (индукция, дедукция, компаративистика) с применением статистического инструментария обработки данных. Базис исследования – теория сохранения бизнеса компании от разрушения в рамках процедур банкротства научной школы Финуниверситета

«Антикризисное управление» во взаимосвязи с теорией макроэкономики. Информационная база – данные МВФ, Всемирного банка, ОЭСР.

Результаты работы

Результаты работы. Исследованы подходы к оценке эффективности макроэкономической политики на основе теории и практики правительств развитых стран. Разработана методология анализа антикризисной составляющей такой политики, включая определение критериев эффективности. Сформулированы предложения по совершенствованию антикризисной политики в условиях пандемии коронавируса. Доказана эффективность применения реабилитационного потенциала процедур банкротства на примере некоторых стран для восстановления экономики в условиях кризиса. Полученные результаты исследования являются актуальными и для сегодняшнего кризиса в экономике, обусловленного геополитическими факторами.

Выводы

Выводы. Кризис, обусловленный пандемией коронавируса, отличается от всех предшествующих экономических кризисов в том числе существенными объемами государственной поддержки бизнеса. При этом отсутствует строгая корреляция между объемами такой поддержки и потерями в экономике. Несмотря на прогнозируемый экономический рост в ближайшие годы, некоторые кризисные факторы (высокий уровень долговой нагрузки, существование зомби-компаний) государствами проигнорированы. Введенный мораторий на банкротство отсрочил проблему накопленных долгов, что впоследствии негативно скажется на темпах экономического роста в мире. Существующие исследования не подтвердили эффективности данной меры поддержки бизнеса.

Оценка эффективности государственной поддержки кризисного бизнеса наряду с макроэкономическими эффектами должна предусматривать антикризисные, обусловленные реабилитационным потенциалом института банкротства. Существующие научные исследования не анализируют вклада режима несостоятельности в экономический рост. По итогам исследования установлена неэффективность государственной поддержки кризисного бизнеса с точки зрения антикризисного управления.

Purpose

Purpose: the main goal is to improve the methodology for assessing the effectiveness of state crisis business support based on the analysis of the experience of foreign countries.

Methods

Methods: the information base of the study is data from the IMF, the World Bank and the OECD. The study was conducted on the basis of methods of logical and comparative analysis (induction, deduction, comparative studies) using statistical data processing tools. The theoretical basis of the research is the theory of bankruptcy of companies of the scientific school of the Financial University «Crisis Management».

Results

Results: the approaches to assessing the effectiveness of macroeconomic policy based on the theory and practice of governments of developed countries have been studied, a methodology for analyzing the crisis component of such a policy has been developed, including the definition of efficiency criteria, and proposals for improving crisis policy in the context of the coronavirus pandemic have been formulated. The effectiveness of using the rehabilitation potential of bankruptcy procedures on the example of some countries to restore the economy in a crisis is proved.

Conclusions and Relevance: the crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic differs from all previous economic crises, including significant amounts of state support for business. At the same time there is no strict correlation between the volumes of such support and losses in the economy. Despite the projected rates of economic growth in the coming years, some crisis factors have been ignored by the states (the high level of debt burden, the existence of zombie companies). The imposed moratorium on bankruptcy has postponed the problem of accumulated debts, which will subsequently negatively affect the pace of economic growth in the world as a whole. Existing studies have not confirmed the effectiveness of this business support measure.

Assessment of the effectiveness of state support for crisis business, along with macroeconomic effects, should include crisis, due to the rehabilitation potential of the institution of bankruptcy. Existing scientific studies do not analyze the contribution of the insolvency regime to economic growth. According to the results of the study, the inefficiency of state support for crisis business from the point of view of crisis management has been established.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.